Preface／001
Ⅰ　General Report
1　The Political and Economic Situation and Trend of India in the Year 2012-2013:
　　——New Tests Faced by the Multi-Party Governing Coalition and the Economic
　　　　Reform for Walking out of the Growth Dilemma【Lyu Zhaoyi】／001
 1. The Multi-party Governing Coalition Facing Tests, and Political
　　　　Parties Preparing the Next General Election／002
　　2. Economy Keeping Growing, but the Growth Rate Declining Continuously,
　　　　the Reform Getting into the Key Period／018
Ⅱ　Annual Reports
2　Politics【Hong Gongfu】／032
　　1. The Political Situation in the Year 2012／032
　　2. The Governing Dilemma of the UPA Led by the Congress Party／046
3　Economy【Yin Yonglin】／064
　　1. Macro-economic Situation Still Unsteady, and the Economic Growth
  Rate Dropping to the Lowest Point of the Last Decade／065
　　2. Staple Crops’Yield Declining, and the Growth Rate of Agriculture
　　　　Slowing／071
　　3. The Growth Rate of the Secondary Industry Declining Continuously／073
　　4. The Service Industry Growing Slowly／077
　　5. The Foreign Trade Slowing Down Severely, the Trade Deficit
　　　　Increasing, Rupee Devaluing, and Foreign Debt Increasing／087
　　6. Giving Great Impetus to the Human Development／093
4　Foreign Relations【Zhang Xiaodong】／101
　　1. The Relationship between India and South Asian Nations／101
　　2. The Relationship between India and Major Powers／117
　　3. The Relationship between India and Asian, African and
　　　　Australian Countries／142
　　4. India’s Diplomatic Activities in International Organizations／155
5　National Defence【Lin Yanming】／160
　　1. Assessment of the National Security Enviroment／160
　　2. Continuously Adjusting Military Deployment and Steadily Promoting
　　　　Military Strength／169
　　3. The Continuous Increase in Defence Spending, the Sustainable Development
　　　　of Defence Production, and the Advance of Defence Scientific Research／183
　　4. Frequent Military Diplomacy, Increasing Outward Military Procurement,
　　　　and Diversified Military Cooperation with Foreign Countries／193
6　Internal Security【Lin Yanming】／217
　　1. General Situation of India’s Internal Security
　　　　in the Year 2012-2013／218
　　2. Development Trend of the Left-wing Extremist Movement／228
　　3. Security Situation in Indian-controlled Jammu and Kashmir State／248
　　4. Security Situation in North East India／258

Ⅲ　Special Studies on Important and Hot Topics
7　The Situation and Challenges of India’s Rise【Sun Shihai】／284
　　1. The Situation of India’s Rise／285
　　2. The Challenges of India’s Rise／292
8　India’s Economic Development and the Sino-India Relations【Ma Jiali】／297
　　1. India’s Economic Development／297
　　2. Economic Comparison between China and India／301
　　3. Comparative Advantage of India’s Economic Development／306
　　4. Several Factors Restraining India’s Development／309
　　5. Some Ideas to Deal with the Sino-India Relations／311
9　Report of India’s Religious Diversity Pattern【Qiu Yonghui】／314
　　1. India’s Religious Diversity Pattern／315
　　2. Relevant Issues of India’s Religious Diversity Pattern／323
10　The Tortuous Development of Sino-India Relations【Lyu Zhaoyi】／333
　　1. The Ups and Downs Period of Sino-India Relations (1950-1988)／334
　　2. The Stable Development Period of Sino-India Relations (1988- )／335
　　3. Major Internal Factors in the Two Countries to Promote or Restrict
　　　　the Sino-India Relations／339
11　Postscript／349